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Archive for March, 2009
Someone must have dropped Ecstasy in the news media's coffee with all the hope and positive spin that are pushing this week.  4 days of up markets last week and they think the worst is over.
 
I am just putting on another pot of coffee in hope that members here will wake up and smell it.
 
I am all for hopeful outlooks but what exactly has been done to restart the economy and make up for the 2 trillion in debt? 
 
Yes - the world is still turning but much of the credit market is not.
 
If your company is one of the lucky ones - take this time to create the best performance in your operating context (low cost producer, biggest volume producer etc...).  Control the part of the economy that you can.  Do not wait for big brother to fix things.  We are responsible for our own destinies!
 
News in this country is now entertainment so do not confuse it with information. 
 
Deep thoughts for a Monday.
 
Terry O
Posted by Terrence O'Hanlon on Mar 16, 2009 12:14 PM EDT

Editorial comments are based on Reuters News posted here Wed Mar 11, 2009 4:27pm EDT

http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSTRE52A6BJ20090311

Choice Quotes from the article:

"Revenue from parts and maintenance for engines and other big, expensive machinery is one of the bright spots for General Electric Co (GE.N), the vast conglomerate that generates the bulk of its sales and profits from industrial businesses."

"A prolonged recession could cut demand for maintenance services, as fewer people fly, for example, but GE points to a $121 billion services backlog."

"The annoying thing about jet engines is that if they don't work planes tend to fall right out of the sky."

"Whenever I fly, I'd like to believe they're not going to skimp on the maintenance, so to a large degree you can rest well with that piece," said Morningstar analyst Daniel Holland.

Now I am a GE Shareholder so I want them to return to health as soon and as much as possible. If you recall GE was in the Reliability Services business for the past years but recently discontinued (reduced staff by 89) to focus on the more narrow, but more lucrative Bently Nevada products/services.

This article points to spares sales - as a financial bright spot for GE - and excuse me fellow GE shareholders - but doesn't that mean the other companies I own shares in (Duke Energy for example) are the buyers of these spares? Is the value removed to Duke the equivalent of the value these spare sales bring to GE? Should I sell Duke stock now and buy GE as a result?

I know I am stating this in a dramatic fashion but I wonder how these spares sales are derived? Is it based on failure modes and patterns, time or periodicity, emergency response or simply to comply with warranty or as part of a services contract?

Am I going to get in trouble for talking about this?

Help...There is a dark color sedan following me.

Posted by Terrence O'Hanlon on Mar 12, 2009 11:05 AM EDT

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